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Should you use the real rates of growth vs. nominal rate of growth when estimating terminal growth rates when using the perpetual growth rate method?

The terminal value as a percentage of firm value could be anywhere from 50-80%. Under specific conditions, your terminal value can also be higher than 80% of the firm value. And the terminal value is significantly impacted by the terminal growth rate. Even a little change in the terminal growth rate will result in millions of dollar difference in terminal value. Therefore it is important to get this right.

On this page, we address the question: Should you use the real rates of growth vs. nominal rate of growth when estimating terminal growth rates when using the perpetual growth rate method?

What are the draws backs of the liquidation (fire sale or orderly sale) approach to terminal value?

There are different methods to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation. You can estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation using any of the common methods: perpetual growth rate, multiples of earnings, cash flows or revenues or less common methods such as orderly liquidation value; or a fire sale value. The method you chose depends on the stage of the company and expected growth drivers as well as the information available.

Each method has its advantages and disadvantages!

On this page, we address the question: “What are the draws backs of the liquidation (fire sale or orderly sale) approach to terminal value?”

What are the draws backs of the multiples approach to terminal value?

There are different methods to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation. You can estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation using any of the common methods: perpetual growth rate, multiples of earnings, cash flows or revenues or less common methods such as orderly liquidation value; or a fire sale value. The method you chose depends on the stage of the company and expected growth drivers as well as the information available.

Each method has its advantages and disadvantages!

On this page, we address the question: “What are the draws backs of the multiples approach to terminal value?”

What are the key principles you must stick with when deciding on the terminal growth rate you use in your DCF valuation?

The terminal growth rate is only one of the many assumptions you make in a DCF valuation. However, the terminal growth rate has a huge impact on the valuation. So it is very important that you get this right.

On this page, we address the question: “What are the key principles you must stick with when deciding on the terminal growth rate you use in your DCF valuation?”

What are the draws backs of the perpetual growth approach to terminal value? How do you address this?

There are different methods to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation. You can estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation using any of the common methods: perpetual growth rate, multiples of earnings, cash flows or revenues or less common methods such as orderly liquidation value; or a fire sale value. The method you chose depends on the stage the company and expected growth drivers as well as the information available.

Each method has its advantages and disadvantages! In this page, we address the question: “What are the draws backs of the perpetual growth approach to terminal value? How do you address this?”

Can the terminal growth rate in a perpetual growth rate method be negative? Why or Why not?

There are different methods to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation. The perpetual growth rate method is the most common approach. Other methods include a multiples of earnings, cash flows or revenues or less common methods such as orderly liquidation value; or a fire sale value. The method you chose depends on the stage the company and expected growth drivers as well as the information available. The perpetual growth rate method is the most common approach. However, the perpetual growth rate is usually assumed to be a positive value. Can the terminal growth rate in a perpetual growth rate method be negative? Why or Why not? We address this question: “Can the terminal growth rate in a perpetual growth rate method be negative? Why or Why not?” on this page:

Which method should you use to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation?

There are different methods to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation. You can estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation using any of the common methods: perpetual growth rate, a multiples of earnings, cash flows or revenues or less common methods such as orderly liquidation value; or a fire sale value. The method you chose depends on the stage the company and expected growth drivers as well as the information available. Which method should you use to estimate terminal value in a DCF valuation?

How can you check if your terminal assumptions are reasonable?

There is no right answer. How do you check if you are on the right track? Why is this important? The terminal value as a percentage of firm value could be anywhere from 50-80% usually. The terminal value as a percentage of firm value could be lower or higher under specific conditions too. How can you check if your terminal assumptions are reasonable?

What percentage of your total value does your terminal value usually represent?

The terminal value as a percentage of firm value could be anywhere from 50-80% usually. The terminal value as a percentage of firm value could be lower or higher under specific conditions too. There is no right answer. How do you check if you are on the right track? Why is this important? What percentage of your total value does your terminal value usually represent?

Can your terminal growth rate be higher than the economy’s growth rate? or GDP growth rate

Can your terminal growth rate be higher than the economy’s growth rate?

No, it is not possible for a company to grows faster than the economy as a whole forever. Since the time period we are evaluating is perpetuity, you will see that if a company grew faster than the economy did, it would become larger than the economy or at least the economy itself.

This is only possible if that company first got to 100% of their market, then expanded to other markets and captured 100% of those markets making them the entire economy..